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Nicolas Darvas Box Trading Secrets

Success Switch

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Rumours overheard today and days ago??!!

Overheard that GS DOWN Keppel Corp and Guccoland target price (TP),
Keppel Corp got dropped to $13, and Gucco dropped to $2.50.
CLSA follow suit and DOWN SGX and Capitacommercial Trust too,
SGX got downgraded to Underperform and become a SELL now.
Capita TP reduced to $2.29.

UBS said in their reports that they downgraded both K-Reit and Macquarie Prime Reit
to SELL, K-Reit TP become $0.93, and Prime Reit become $0.95
By the way, Macquarie also said K-reit need to slim down,
and the TP at $1.25

Citi is busier in their reports, our 3 local banks all got a SELL rating,
DBS TP at $16.75, UOB at $17.60, the smaller OCBC at $7.60
- Frankly, if they dropped further, it will be a great bargain,
because as and when the economy recovers, the banks share
will lead the charge, and the surge will be Fast and Furious.

Other stories include CapitaMall Trust become a BUY now with TP at $3.30,
but Raffles Edu got downgraded to HOLD with TP at $0.95
- I believe Raffles Edu is still in an aggressive M&A move,
they are hungry to continue expanding their student
and campus' reach, but their main issue is they need$$$,
and that will mean either incurring more debts, or as usual,
issuing new shares.
I wonder why they don't want to try to sell to OHL,
if he is in, then its share price and future will look
rosier.
Just a wild wishful thought on my side.

Big Brother Lehman also continue the cutting trend, and
this time is our beloved 2 telcos.
Starhub TP is at $3.08, and Singtel become a Equalweight now.
- Incidentally if you have read some FA books, the rating
of Equalweight is equivalent to a SELL rating,
just at a nicer-phrased word.


On a lesser note, DB said the Property company WingTai is expensive now,
so need to put the TP at $1.45 now.
- I don't really know about the stock, but I know WingTai's property
project's standard and class. This is just my view and not an advertisement!
HaHe....
ML also downgraded City Dev to Neutral.
- I know of an old-friend who is a die-hard supporter of
City Dev, not the properties, but its shares. I better ask him
how many shares he has accumulated all this years,
maybe he has become a Substantial Shareholder now??!! OMG!!

Jap Nomura securities also join in the reports and downgraded Noble
to a not-so noble TP of $2.29
-I consider Noble as a mid-cap, in the same category as Olam and
Straits Asia, and I strongly they will never become a small-cap
again even if the market keep falling down the cliff.
Frankly, the chances of them becoming a big-cap when
the market recovers is higher than it tumble down to
the hard floor.

Looking at all these CUT and Downgrade reports,
I have only one thing in my mind...........
It's time for me to get a hairCUT, and "Downgrade"
my spending on certain brands of products.

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