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Showing posts with label UBS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UBS. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Rumours overheard at Robinson Road!!

I was at Robinson Road today and saw a queue of policy holders at
AIA tower wanting to redeem their policy and/or sell their AIA funds.
Being KPO, I went to talk to some of the people in the queue, and somehow
the topic settled on Stock Market rumours which is also my cup
of tea, so I walk along with them on the outskirt of the queue,
and record the rumours that I heard:

First off we have the French, Mr BNP said that Wilmar and Golden Agri need
to slim down and reduce both their TP to $3.80 and $1.10 now.
But he like SMRT and increase the TP to $2.17
(Frankly, Wilmar and Golden Agri will always be in the trader's mind
as long as there is a sector rotational play, so keep a close watch on it
together with First Resources and Indofood)


Next we have the Japs, Nomura san like Sembmarine so much and
upgraded it to a Strong Buy rating, but Daiwa san don't like
Ferrochina and reduce the TP to $1.55
(I like Ferrochina both for its fundamental and it as a long-time
trading stocks. Infact, I have grab it as low as possible during
the last 2 days unjustly big fall in the price. I am holding it
for a mid-term period, and it should be quite safe.)

Let's see what the Aussies and the Europeans got to say about our stocks: Mr Macquarie reduce First Resources, Indofood and Olam's TP to $1.20, $2.60 and $2.90 respectively.
(I have already given my view on the palm plantation stocks on top, and Olam being a ever-growing commodities stock will always be in my radar watch)

Swiss UBS and British Cazenove downgraded 3 stock's TP, Sembcorp become a $4.80 TP by UBS, and our dearest Singtel become $3.15 and China Hongxing TP drop to a mere $0.53 by Cazenove. (Singtel being the largest market cap stock in Singapore will always be in the limelight and it should be well supported at major support level.)

Lastly we have the sick and troubled Americans: Citi still feel that our market is quite strong enough to achieve a target of 2820 for STI, which is good enough for me. But they also reduce SGX TP to $4.70, which is a steal at this level.

We have troubled ML next, and they downgraded our 3 local banks, with DBS and OCBC become Underperform, and UOB become Neutral. The Revised TP are $16 for DBS, $8 for OCBC and $20 for UOB, and doubt that they will remain a “safe haven” for much longer. (I sincerely believe we will last longer than them, and at this time next year, maybe we will no longer see ML, or it has a new name or a new "master")

Cosco's rating was reduced to Neutral by ML too, but I see it more of a SELL as the TP dropped to $1.75 from $4.80, what do you think?

Look like maybe there will be more queues forming at different places, and I should keep a look-out and join them to discover more rumours that are flying all around us now.....

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

Rumours overheard at SGX Supermarket!!!

On a bright sunny day, I went to Lau Pa Sat to eat and to meet-up
with some old friends. After my meal, I walked past the nearby
SGX Supermarket, and heard some commotions inside the building,
so I sticked my head and ear in, and this is what I gathered
from the commotions:

Mr Goldman recently very active in judging our stocks, but most
have been CUT into pieces by him.
Jardine got downgraded to Neutral, and poor Wilmar and
Indofood Agri both got a hair-cut too. Wilmar's TP become
$4.90 and Indofood is only worth $2.40 to Mr Goldman.

DMG, from the same family of Mr DB, also cut the palm agri
stocks of First Resources and Indofood Agri. First Resources
TP is now $1 and Indo is $2.65

Mr Citi talked about the China Branded Sportwear and stated
that "The Stronger Will Prevail", but China Hongxing and
China Sports look not that strong as they both got downgraded.
China Hongxing become a Sell rating with TP at $0.35,
and China Sports got a Sell TP of $0.28.
Look like only LiNing is doing very well.

Long time no see and hear from Mr Cazenove, but he brought Good news to
Ventures when he upgraded it to Outperform. Well Done!

Mr UBS also brought good news to both Indofood Agri and Singapore Airline
with a upgrade report. Indofood become a Buy, and Singapore Airline become
a Buy too with TP at $20
-- Did you all hear the joke and rumour about UBS is now called
United Bank of Singapore, since our government is now
a substantial shareholder. By the way, our government is also
substantial shareholder of Stanchart which escape unharmed from
the Subprime issue, why don't we merge this 2 to become a
Giant??!!! Maybe I am just dreaming......

Monday, September 1, 2008

Rumours overheard today and days ago from the SGX Fish market??!!

I went to the SGX Fish market and overheard many stall-owner
shouting at the top of their voice, and here is what I recalled:

GS took a look at our Property stocks and said that some need
to slim down and take a weight-loss.
GS viewed WingTai at a SELL, with TP at only $1.12
UOL was given a NEUTRAL with TP at $3.42
Capitaland was told to take a TP weight-cut to $5.20,
with City Development weight-cut to $9.10,
Keppel Land TP now at $4.66, and Allgreen not so green now with
TP become $0.90
- If the property stock price really drop to such prices, then I know
we will have a overnight buy queue, but come to think again,
maybe not many will dare to buy at a discounted price thinking
it is not cheap yet. Then you can keep on waiting, another rabbit will
get killed when it bang on the tree you are waiting beside again.
(If you know chinese idiom, you should know the meaning)

The rest of the rumours are quite messy, or maybe noisy:

For some downgrades:
CS told Saizen Reit to sim down and give it a Underperform rating,
and UBS reduced Tiong Woon TP by a big drop of about 50% to $0.58,
while BNP also follow suit and give Sim Lian a downgraded TP at $0.61

Ok, enough of bad rumours, now for some better rumours from
some Fishmongers:

Nomura said that Hyflux deserve a BUY rating now, MS also upgraded
STX to Overweight, and Macquarie also upgraded SGX to Outperform.
Lastly, HSBC upgraded CSM to Neutral. Incidentally in another rumour
overheard, HSBC's report Asian Equity Strategy report dated 22Aug said
that "Recession don't forever" and "Judging by history, the US recession
will be over before end-08"
- I don't know how true are all these rumours by all these fishmongers,
but I only know that fishes are still selling very well,
and I will visit the meat and fruit stall next time.
If you do spot a great discount bargain, do you dare to buy??

By the way, I still have not get a haircut yet, but who cares?

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Rumours overheard today and days ago??!!

Overheard that GS DOWN Keppel Corp and Guccoland target price (TP),
Keppel Corp got dropped to $13, and Gucco dropped to $2.50.
CLSA follow suit and DOWN SGX and Capitacommercial Trust too,
SGX got downgraded to Underperform and become a SELL now.
Capita TP reduced to $2.29.

UBS said in their reports that they downgraded both K-Reit and Macquarie Prime Reit
to SELL, K-Reit TP become $0.93, and Prime Reit become $0.95
By the way, Macquarie also said K-reit need to slim down,
and the TP at $1.25

Citi is busier in their reports, our 3 local banks all got a SELL rating,
DBS TP at $16.75, UOB at $17.60, the smaller OCBC at $7.60
- Frankly, if they dropped further, it will be a great bargain,
because as and when the economy recovers, the banks share
will lead the charge, and the surge will be Fast and Furious.

Other stories include CapitaMall Trust become a BUY now with TP at $3.30,
but Raffles Edu got downgraded to HOLD with TP at $0.95
- I believe Raffles Edu is still in an aggressive M&A move,
they are hungry to continue expanding their student
and campus' reach, but their main issue is they need$$$,
and that will mean either incurring more debts, or as usual,
issuing new shares.
I wonder why they don't want to try to sell to OHL,
if he is in, then its share price and future will look
rosier.
Just a wild wishful thought on my side.

Big Brother Lehman also continue the cutting trend, and
this time is our beloved 2 telcos.
Starhub TP is at $3.08, and Singtel become a Equalweight now.
- Incidentally if you have read some FA books, the rating
of Equalweight is equivalent to a SELL rating,
just at a nicer-phrased word.


On a lesser note, DB said the Property company WingTai is expensive now,
so need to put the TP at $1.45 now.
- I don't really know about the stock, but I know WingTai's property
project's standard and class. This is just my view and not an advertisement!
HaHe....
ML also downgraded City Dev to Neutral.
- I know of an old-friend who is a die-hard supporter of
City Dev, not the properties, but its shares. I better ask him
how many shares he has accumulated all this years,
maybe he has become a Substantial Shareholder now??!! OMG!!

Jap Nomura securities also join in the reports and downgraded Noble
to a not-so noble TP of $2.29
-I consider Noble as a mid-cap, in the same category as Olam and
Straits Asia, and I strongly they will never become a small-cap
again even if the market keep falling down the cliff.
Frankly, the chances of them becoming a big-cap when
the market recovers is higher than it tumble down to
the hard floor.

Looking at all these CUT and Downgrade reports,
I have only one thing in my mind...........
It's time for me to get a hairCUT, and "Downgrade"
my spending on certain brands of products.

Friday, August 8, 2008

Rumours overheard today 08082008!! HUAT!!

Today number 1 rumour got to be on our Dearest DBS who just reported result:
CS look like not so happy with DBS result and CUT the TP to $20.50 and
downgrade to UNDERPERFORM,
MS follows the same way and also CUT the TP to a terribly-low $15.50 (OMG!!)
and downgrade to UNDERWEIGHT (better put on more weights, haha),
Citi has the same view and also slim the TP to $20.85, but said still maintain BUY,
BNP however said," You guys are wrong!!" It UP the rating to BUY and give
a TP of $22.70!

Look like our Dearest DBS has to wake up its idea and buck up
to win back more support!

UBS target-on NOL become $2.20, and same CUT to a SELL rating.
(Look like NOL will become Number-One-Loser???)

Citi is always awake, it don't like to sleep,
so it say OCBC also don't sleep too much now that
it has been CUT to SELL and only TP $8.35 now.
JPM also said "You are Right!" TP become $8.00, but
give you a NEUTRAL rating first.

CS said that Starhub is only worth the TP of $2.55, and
can only achieve a UNDERPERFORM rating.
(Well, look like SH can/may increase the Premier League
fee to boost up its margin, OMG, please don't do so!!)

Monday, August 4, 2008

Rumours overheard today 4Aug

Now being the reporting season, there are lots of
rumours in the air, so I just grab some and
share it here.

Overheard that:
CS rate Capitaland at HOLD but reduce Target Price (TP) to $5.16
GS said that Wilmar is still good to BUY , TP raised 20cts to $6.20
but GS cut Capitaland by 40cts to $6.40.
UBS agreed with GS, and also cut TP to $7, although still said worth
a BUY rating.
Citi downgraded both Jardine Matheson and Strategic.
(I like this 2 stocks, but because of current lousy sentiment,
look like I can get them cheaper)

Thursday, March 27, 2008

Thursday, March 20, 2008

Olam & Wilmar 20Mar - UBS

Olam & Wilmar 20Mar - UBS
http://www.mediafire.com/?dwq51cyji13

Friday, March 14, 2008

Research Reports on K-Reit, A-Reit, Mermaid Maritime

Research Report on K-Reit 14 Mar - Daiwa
http://www.mediafire.com/?pzmz33oouj1

Research Report on K-Reit 14 Mar - Lehman Bro
http://www.mediafire.com/?u2eyojr3ywn

Research Report on A-Reit 13 Mar - UBS
http://www.mediafire.com/?n11c2lmpj2n

Research Report on A-Reit 13 Mar - Citi
http://www.mediafire.com/?zd2gnp1og2d

Research Report on Mermaid Maritime 14 Mar - Macquarie
http://www.mediafire.com/?eflxfjjyigy

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Research Report on Tat Hong, Sg Banks, A-Reit

Research Report on Tat Hong and Asian Daily by CS 13 Mar
http://www.mediafire.com/?j4zfynnitrz
http://www.mediafire.com/?3emwdeum1m1

Research Report on Singapore Bank by UBS 11Mar
http://www.mediafire.com/?joygk0t3nrn

Research Report on A-Reit by JPM 13 Mar
http://www.mediafire.com/?b2vzn5zdbmu

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

3 Research reports on Sembmarine

3 research report from UBS, Nomura and GS on
Sembmarine.
http://www.uploading.com/en/files/LUME7NV3/3%20Sembmarine%20reports.zip.html

Monday, March 3, 2008

5 Research Reports on Capitaland

I have zip up 5 foreign research report on Capitaland
into one. They are from UBS, Nomura, Lehman Brothers,
Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank.

http://www.uploading.com/en/files/OLHTS7AK/Capitaland 5 Reports.zip.html

Disclaimers:

The Research Report is for your general and private
reading, and it is not a recommendation for any stock investment/trading.
There are Risk and Reward involved in stock investment/trading.
Readers should exercise caution and judgement when
making investment/trading decision from the report.
Past performance is never a good indication of Future performance.
Readers should seek the advice of professional, adviser
for any stock decision.
I will not be held responsible for any loss incurred from
stock decision from reading the research report.
Caveat Emptor!