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Nicolas Darvas Box Trading Secrets

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Monday, September 1, 2008

Rumours overheard today and days ago from the SGX Fish market??!!

I went to the SGX Fish market and overheard many stall-owner
shouting at the top of their voice, and here is what I recalled:

GS took a look at our Property stocks and said that some need
to slim down and take a weight-loss.
GS viewed WingTai at a SELL, with TP at only $1.12
UOL was given a NEUTRAL with TP at $3.42
Capitaland was told to take a TP weight-cut to $5.20,
with City Development weight-cut to $9.10,
Keppel Land TP now at $4.66, and Allgreen not so green now with
TP become $0.90
- If the property stock price really drop to such prices, then I know
we will have a overnight buy queue, but come to think again,
maybe not many will dare to buy at a discounted price thinking
it is not cheap yet. Then you can keep on waiting, another rabbit will
get killed when it bang on the tree you are waiting beside again.
(If you know chinese idiom, you should know the meaning)

The rest of the rumours are quite messy, or maybe noisy:

For some downgrades:
CS told Saizen Reit to sim down and give it a Underperform rating,
and UBS reduced Tiong Woon TP by a big drop of about 50% to $0.58,
while BNP also follow suit and give Sim Lian a downgraded TP at $0.61

Ok, enough of bad rumours, now for some better rumours from
some Fishmongers:

Nomura said that Hyflux deserve a BUY rating now, MS also upgraded
STX to Overweight, and Macquarie also upgraded SGX to Outperform.
Lastly, HSBC upgraded CSM to Neutral. Incidentally in another rumour
overheard, HSBC's report Asian Equity Strategy report dated 22Aug said
that "Recession don't forever" and "Judging by history, the US recession
will be over before end-08"
- I don't know how true are all these rumours by all these fishmongers,
but I only know that fishes are still selling very well,
and I will visit the meat and fruit stall next time.
If you do spot a great discount bargain, do you dare to buy??

By the way, I still have not get a haircut yet, but who cares?

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